5 Players to Stay Away From

A lot of you newbies are novice players are going to be targeting the big time players from last year or some hot shot rookie that is coming out this season.  Pause:  I am here to help you steer clear and expalin why. DO NOT TOUCH THESE GUYS!

Make sure to watcht the awesome speech by Conan O'Brien at the end. It is worth it...

Peyton Hillis, RB, Cleveland

There is no discounting what Peyton Hillis did last season.  He was waiver wire gold for all the owners who were lucky enough to pluck him of the wire.  Great. Grand. Wonderful.  But please don’t be that guy (or girl) the goes and takes Hillis in the 2^nd or 3^rd round and then talks about how they can’t believe that he fell that far.  He is a one year wonder and you are taking ALL of the risk with a guy like that.  Let someone else deal with him this year.  Chances are he is in line for a down year.  Madden curse anyone?

Mark Ingram, RB, New Orleans

I’m starting to hear Mark Ingram creep up into the talk as a low end #1RB this year because he is on the Saints.  Pump the breaks kids.  He is a legit RB, but before we start giving him that type of expectations let’s give him a year to prove it.  I can tell you this right now, I am not going near a Saint RB.  No Saint RB has eclipsed the 200 carry mark in a season under Sean Payton and I don’t know if that will change now.  He could potentially be a breakout but I wouldn’t touch him early in the draft. If he is there in round 10 I might make him my 4^th RB.  That’s about it.

Kyle Orton, QB, Denver

In 13 games, Kyle Orton threw for 3,653 yards and 20 TDs. Impressive stuff.  He lost his job late in the season as Denver started rolling down the hill of losses.  Early indications are that he will be the Denver starting QB since no trade could be worked out.  But buyer beware.  He was on a totally different offense last season.  Josh McDaniels was the head coach in Denver last year and he loved to throw the ball.  This year John Fox is in the house and I envision him with more of a balanced offense.  Knowshon Moreno could be a sure bet for a top 10 rusher this season.

Greg Jennings, WR, Green Bay

Last year, Jennings was a top 5 WR when the season ended.  However, through the first handful of games, owners were unhappy with Jennings production due to the fact that Jermichael Finley was an unstoppable force streaking down the seam.  I expect the same to occur this year so DO NOT REACH for Greg Jennings.  He is a solid WR but on average he is being taken with the 21st pick in most fantasy drafts which is late second/early third round type of selection.  With a healthy Finley, it will be difficult for Jennings to produce in a similar fashion this season.  Let him go to the 4^th or 5^th round to get the correct value from him. Mike Wallace and Reggie Wayne are much better selections that are on average being selected after Jennings.

Rob Gronkowski, TE, New England

Other than having a memorable draft night that included about a dozen grown men jumping up and down on stage crying and a 3 touchdown performance against Pittsburgh, there really isn’t  much to write home about this guy.  He is a solid guy who plays well against zone coverage, but can’t get open against man coverage.  Vice-versa for Aaron Hernandez.  They are situational TEs that people are overdrafting because they are on the Patriots.  He is on average being drafted in the mid 7^th round.  Look for Jimmy Graham or Owen Daniels before this inconsistent TE.  He is more of a #2 TE.