This post is devoted to all you draft geeks out there who think they can somehow magically predict the draft like some sort magician. First, let me say that no one out there will predict the first round correctly. It is simply impossible and there are WAY too many reaches that teams go for that ruin mock drafts. However, it is the time of the year to help you guys out with some ideas of who these players are and what the Eagles will do in the first and second.
Now please keep in mind that there will be several free agent to be QB's (Donovan McNabb, Kyle Orton, Vince Young) and some could be traded like Kevin Kolb. There is a record amount of Free Agents to hit the block so who knows how that will work out with the CBA...
1. Carolina Panthers- DaQuan Bowers, DE (Clemson)
Top 3 Needs: DE, QB, DT
I know many mocks have Nick Fairley going 1st overall but I just don't see it anymore. Bowers is going to average 10 sacks a year and dominates against the run. The Panthers desperately need a QB but Gabbert and Newton just simply aren't worth taking #1 overall. AJ Green could be an option here but with Ron Rivera is a defensive guy. With no second round pick we might see the Panthers trade down a little bit. There are A LOT of holes on this team.
2. Denver Broncos- Nick Fairley, DT (Auburn)
I previously had Patrick Peterson at this pick but since Champ Bailey signed an extension to stay with the team I see them addressing the pressure up front. John Fox is moving to a 4-3 from a 3-4 and needs a dominant DT to have the type of defense he runs. Fairley didn't give 110% in college but I think John Fox is the type of coach that can motivate him.
3. Buffalo Bills- Patrick Peterson, CB (LSU)
I'm one of the biggest supporters of Cam Newton but there is no way Buffalo takes Cam with Ryan Fitzpatrick still developing. They need help at corner and Peterson is a can't miss player. Defense is what the Bills need to improve, especially when they need to play Tom Brady twice a year. Peterson will be able to blitz, cover the TE's and has the speed to go deep with the speed WRs.
4. Cincinnati Bengals- Blaine Gabbert, QB (Missouri)
Top 3 Needs: OL, WR, QB
With Carson Palmer making it clear that he wants out of Cincy, I think it is safe to say that QB is a top priority. Gabbert is leaving college early as the best all around QB in the draft and might be the new start of a new era. If Palmer comes out and says that he wants to stay then I'll change this pick, but I see no way that then pass on a QB with Gabbert's potential. Gabbert is worth a late first round pick in dynasty formats. Expect him to go around the 9th or 10th pick in the rookie only drafts.
5. Arizona Cardinals- Von Miller, 3-4 OLB (Texas A&M)
Top 3 Needs: QB, 3-4 OLB, OG
Larry Fitzgerald was asked by the Arizona Cardinals which QB he wants to throw him passes and his answer was Kevin Kolb. He had a list of 5 QB's and none of them were rookies in the draft so if the Cardinals are smart they will listen to their star WR or he will walk after the 2011 season. This forces them to improve their next biggest issue which is the pass rush. Miller can get after the QB and he is smart. He has the potential to be an icon in this league.
6. Cleveland Browns- A.J. Green, WR (Georgia) Top 3 Needs: WR, 3-4 DE, OT
If AJ Green falls to the Browns here, they might quite literally spirnt to the podium. Green is a game breaker and is the exact type of WR that Colt McCoy needs to improve. I can't imagine a scenario where the Browns pass on A.J. Green. Most rookie fantasy drafts will see A.J. Green draft 1st or 2nd overall. He could fall to second if he ends up in a bad situation (i.e. Carolina). I see him going 1st overall in my dynasty league.
7. San Francisco 49ers- Marcell Dareus, DT (Alabama)
Top 3 Needs: CB, NT, 3-4 OLB
Many people think Marcell out shined Fairley at the combine and that it all well and good. However, the potential for Fairley is just a bit higher. Both players will be productive from day one. I almost considered Prince Amukamara at this pick, but the CB class is deeper than the DT class.
8. Tennesee Titans- Robert Quinn, DE (UNC)
Top 3 Needs: QB, CB, DE
Robert Quinn did not play this season due to a suspension from the NCAA but if he did, he could have possibly been the #1 overall pick but that is extremely unlikely due to the suspension. He is strong and fast off the line. He is used to playing with his hand on the ground but this guy has a great chance to be similar to Terrell Suggs if he goes to a 3-4 defense like Arizona or San Fran. I fully expect Tennessee to trade up and go after Blaine Gabbert.
9. Dallas Cowboys- Nate Solder, LT (Colorado)
Top 3 Needs: OT, CB, 3-4 DE
Solder was able to add weight before the combine and looks as if he will be able to put on another 10 lbs before OTAs (if there are any). Amukamara looks very enticing at this pick but part of the reason the Cowboys finished so poorly last season was because they could not protect Tony Romo. That needs to be fixed.
10. Washington Redskins- Prince Amukamara, CB (Nebraska)
Top 3 Needs: QB, WR, CB
If I am re-building a franchise the same way the Shanahan girls are trying to rebuild, then I start with the defense. Julio Jones will be very enticing for the Redskins at this point, but strengthening their defense with a potential lock down corner is a absolute need and here is why. Jeremy Maclin, DeSean Jackson, Hakeem Nicks, Mario Manningham, Dez Bryant, and Miles Austin are all in the division and need to be accounted for. DeAngelo Hall is not a lock down corner no matter how you try and slice it.
11. Houston Texans- Jimmy Smith, CB (Colorado)
Top 3 Needs: DT, CB, SS
At 6'2", 203 lbs, Smith will be able to be matched up with the bigger receivers (Kenny Britt) in the division as well as stick with the possession receivers (Reggie Wayne). He has had some off the field issues while at college but I'd consider them very minor compared to the other problems that some players are reported to have in their files.
12. Minnesota Vikings- Cam Newton, QB (Auburn)
Newton's physical measurements cannot be questioned. He's a freak of an athlete and can throw the ball a mile. He has a great running back to hand the ball off to over the course of the next 3 years but will need time and coaching to develop. His accuracy issues were over blown at the combine and a team desperate enough for a QB will allow the "icon and entertainer" comments to slide. He has "it" and if you need proof take a look at the comeback wins this season and take a look at the two consecutive championships he has won at two different football levels. He shouldn't get drafted in the first round of any dynasty leagues but it takes one team to fall in love with him. He has early second round written all over him.
13. Detroit Lions- Tyron Smith, OT (USC) Top 3 Needs: OL, CB, S
Matt Stafford needs protection and investing an offensive lineman with Tyron's ability would help Stafford development and confidence immensely. "Experts" like Mike Golic say that there are flags on Smith because he didn't play blindside in college so he must have flaws. Well, that is just arrogant because if he would have taken his time to do the proper research he would see that a potential top 5 pick in Matt Kalil (brother of Ryan Kalil) is at the other tackle position. Pete Carroll even said that when he was coach, he trusted Tyron to switch to the other side if something happened to Matt, but that it never came to that.
14.
St. Louis Rams- Julio Jones, WR (Alabama)
Top 3 Needs: WR, OLB, DT
Julio blew scouts away at the combine and even bested in A.J. Green in most categories so I wouldn't be shocked if he goes a few spots earlier to a team that takes the best player available versus taking a player to fill a need. Jones ran a 4.39 40 yard dash with a broken bone is his foot! Surgery will be needed to fix it but he will be fully recovered before the mini camps start up(if there are any) He will probably be a top 3 pick in most rookie only fantasy drafts. I see him going 3rd overall in my dynasty league.
15. Miami Dolphins- Mark Ingram, RB (Alabama)
Unless Ronnie Brown comes back at a serious discount, he will no longer be with the team. I'm not sure who the QB will be for the Dolphins next season, but whoever it is will need to lean on a good run game and Ingram will provide it. He's the type of horse who can carry the ball 25 times per game. No way that Ingram falls past the 3rd overall pick in an rookie fantasy drafts. I see him going second overall in my dynasty league.
16. Jacksonville Jaguars- Adrian Clayborn, DE (Iowa)
Top 3 Needs: DE, ILB, FS
Clayborn has the ideal size to line up at right defensive end to go up against the tight end and tackle to help against the run or to line up on the left side and go after the Quarterback. That flexibility will make Clayborn appealing to a lot of teams, especially teams that were poor against the run and pass like the Jags were.
17- New England Patriots- Gabe Carimi, OT (Wisconsin)
Top 3 Needs: 3-4 OLB, OG, OT
The Patriots have an aging offensive line and an unhappy one at that. Carimi has the skill set of a right tackle or right guard to start immediately. He could be an eventual blindside tackle with proper training. Experience will also play a key factor. Carimi did not blow anyone away at the combine, but he also didn't do anything to hurt his draft stock.
18. San Diego Chargers- J.J. Watt, 3-4 DE (Wisconsin)
Top 3 Needs: 3-4 DE, 3-4 OLB, ILB
It will be difficult for the Chargers to have a top ranked defense again with the departure of Ron Rivera. Last year, it was Rivera's scheme that help the defense. This year they need to get more skill. J.J. Watt might be the best 3-4 DE in the draft and that is exactly what San Diego needs. The front 7 has to get better to compete in the AFC West.
19.
New York Giants- Anthony Castanzo, OT (Boston College) Top 3 Needs: DT, RB, OL
The O-line for the Giants needs some youth. While the Giants had a dominant O-Line in the past, the same can't be said for this past year. Castanzo will be able to help out at any position along the line other than at Center.
20.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers- Justin Houston, DE (Georgia)Top 3 Needs: OLB, DE, S
Gotta love those bulldogs. Tampa's defense improved dramatically last year with the insertion of top rookie defensive tackles in the first and second round. Despite the last season injuries along the line, the team is ready to take the next step. All they need is a pass rushing DE like Houston to help out along the line.
21. Kansas City Chiefs- Cameron Jordan, DE (Cal)
Top 3 Needs: OLB, DE, FS
The Chiefs were one of the most surpsing teams last year. Bowe, Charles, Cassell, McCluster, Hali, and Berry lead the team to the AFC West crown with ease. Now if they can sure up the run defense they may be able to win the division for the next few years. If Jordan slips to #21, and some players slip for no reason at all (Jeremy Maclin), then the Chiefs will get a steal and get a domiant 3-4 DE.
22. Indianaplois Colts- Derek Sherrod, OT (Miss. St)
To say that the Colts offensive line was horrible this year would be an understatement. They couldn't run block or pass block. The Colts GM Bill Polian even admitted that they made a mistake last year at the combine by not taking tackle Roger Saffold. As Charlie Sheen would say, "Uhhhh, duuuhhh".
23.
Philadelphia Eagles- Mike Pouncey, G (Florida)
As much as I think Winston Justice is a turnstyle, I think the RG position is the more pressing issue. King Dunlap or Winston Justice can be suitable for another year possibly at RT. There are NO answers at RG right now as I see it on the Eagles roster. Pouncey may even be able to shift to C and move McGlynn back to guard where he is better suited. Jamaal Jackson has had injury problems so wee need some insurance. There is a 10% chance the Eagles hold on to the 23rd pick.
24. New Orleans Saints- Ryan Kerrigan, DE (Purdue)
The Saints defense can always use upgrades in the front 7 and I see Kerrigan helping out the most with the run defense. He has a high motor so I can see him getting about 8-10 sacks a year. I personally don't like one year wonders like Kerrgian, but someone will fall in love with him.
25. Seattle Seahwaks- Ryan Mallet
Charlie Whitehurst is not the answer and Pete Carroll knows it. Not sure if any QB's that are left are the answer. Mallet has some "reported" problems and they may or may not be over blown. However, his inaccuracy was horrible and not worthy of a first round pick. He needs to improve his accuracy and Carroll has to take a chance on someone at QB. I truly believe though that Seattle will trade for Kevin Kolb and sure up the QB position.
26. Baltimore Ravens- Randall Cobb, WR (Kentucky)
Top 3 Needs: CB, S, WR
With a WR corp that has players all over the age of 30 the need a top flight WR to takeover for the futre. Cobb is quick underneath and a great route runner. He has taken snaps under center in a type of Wildcat offense and can do about anything you ask him to. Flacco to Cobb could be a dream scenario in Baltimore after Mason and Housh retire.
27. Atlanta Falcons- Akeem Ayers, OLB (UCLA)
Lofton, Ayers and Weatherspoon could form one of the most dominant LB trio's in the league. The front 4 needs some upgrading but there isn't a DE as good as Ayers at this spot. Ayers has the ability to rush the QB as well so you could see him get some sacks as well.
28. New England Patriots- Mikel LeShoure, RB (Illinois) Top 3 Needs: 3-4 OLB, DE, OG
LeShoure is certainly not a need of the Pats and I truly don't even see them holding onto this pick but if they do, LeShoure makes alot of sense. All of their RB's are old sans the Law Firm Benjarvis Green-Ellis. Leshoure has versatility and has shown the ability to pass block, something that is key for the New England offense. I'd expect LeShoure to be drafted around the 5th or 6th spot of dynasty league drafts.
29. Chicago Bears- Corey Liuget, DT (Illinois) Top 3 Needs: OT, WR, S
With the release of Tommie Harris there becomes an immediate need for a DT. Harris was an athletic DT who could provide a strong pass rush up the middle. The Bears could expect the same from Liugent. He did poorly in the bench press with only 18 reps, but still has quick hands and feet to defeat the guards in one on one situations.
30. New York Jets- Phil Taylor, NT (Baylor)
Top 3 Needs: DE, 3-4 OLB, S
With Kris Jenkins released, there is an immediate need for a NT to improve the run defense. Taylor is a mammoth at 6'4", 345 lbs. I don't see how the Jets could pass on this guy with their glaring need along the front line.
31. Pittsburgh Steelers- Muhammed Wilkerson, 3-4 DE (Temple)
Team Needs: OL, S, DL
I'd like to see a OL fall to the Steeler's at this pick but I don't see any that are worth a first round pick at this point. The end of the second round will have plenty of guards for them to choose from. Wilkerson will provide depth and make for one of the scariest 3-4 defenses in the league.
32. Green Bay Packers- Cameron Heyward, DE (Ohio St.)
Team Needs: OL, DL, ILB
Improving an already dominant front 7 needs to be at the topof Green Bay's list. It is what got them through when everything was spiraling down and we all know that injuries along the DLine are a constanteen Bay's list. It is what got them through when everything was spiraling down and we all know that injuries along the DLine are a constant. Providing great depth will help eliminate that problem.
2nd Round
33. New England- Aldon Smith, 3-4 OLB, Missouri
34. Buffalo- Stephen Paea, DT, Oregon State
35. Cincinnati- Ryan Wlliams, RB, Virginia Tech
36. Denver- Rahim Moore, S, UCLA
37. Cleveland- Christian Ballard, DE, Iowa
38. Arizona- Cameron Jordan, TE, USC
39. Tennessee- Jake Locker, QB, Washington
40. Dallas- Ras-I Dowling, CB, Virginia
41. Washington- Leonard Hankerson, WR, Miami
42. Houston- Dontay Moch, 3-4 OLB, Nevada
43. Minnesota- Sam Acho, DE, Texas
44. Detroit- Brandon Harris, CB, Miami
45. San Francisco- Christian Ponder, QB, Florida St.
46. Denver- Martez Wilson, LB, Illinois
47. St. Louis- DeAndre McDaniel, S, Clemson
48. Oakland- Rodney Hudson, OG, Florida St.
49. Jacksonville- Torrey Smith, WR, Maryland
50. San Diego- Aaron Williams, CB, Texas
51. Tampa Bay- Titus Young, WR, Boise St
52. NY Giants- Marvin Austin, DT, UNC
53. Indianapolis- Marcus Cannon, OG, TCU
54. Philadelphia- Drake Nevis. DT, LSU
55. Kansas City- Jonathan Baldwin, WR, Pitt
56. New Orleans- Jacquizz Rodgers, RB, Oregon State
57. Seattle Seahawks- Danny Watkins, OL, Baylor
58. Baltimore Ravens- Stephen Wisniewski, C, Penn State
59. Atlanta Falcons- Clint Boling, OG, Georgia
60. New England- Vincent Brown, WR, San Diego State
61. New York Jets- Orlando Franklin, OG, Miami
62. Chicago Bears- Greg Jones, LB, Michigan State
63. Pittsburgh Steelers- James Carpenter, OL, Alabama
64 Green Bay Packers- John Moffit, OL, Wisconsin